Publications

Real-Time Macroeconomic Nowcasting with Stage-dependent Model Policies: Evidence from U.S. GDP, Inflation, and Labour Markets

SSRN working paper, posted 22 August 2026 (69 pages).

Citation

Authors: Cenk Ufuk Yildiran
Publication: SSRN working paper, posted 22 August 2026 (69 pages).
Type: SSRN working paper

Research overview

This working paper studies U.S. nowcasting under changing data-release information sets and data revisions. It compares stage-dependent model policies and fixed models across GDP, inflation, and labour-market indicators, while examining predictive intervals and vintage sensitivity. The SSRN record contains the complete abstract and paper.

Access and citations

← Back to all publications

Back to Publications