Research, methods & ideas
I am a UK-based economist working on macroeconomic forecasting, applied econometrics, economic measurement, and quantitative financial research.
01 / Areas of interest
Economic questions, empirical analysis and applications in finance and policy.
Economic growth, inflation, labour markets and forecasting.
Explore interestStatistical modelling, time-series analysis and empirical methods.
Explore interestFinancial markets, asset pricing, risk and exchange rates.
Explore interestPredictive modelling and data-driven economic analysis.
Explore interestProductivity, innovation, competition and industry dynamics.
Explore interest02 / Current research
Research | SSRN working paper · further research ongoing
Evidence from U.S. GDP, Inflation, and Labour Markets
Research | SSRN working paper · further research ongoing
Sequential Strategy Development and Out-of-Sample Validation in U.S. Mid-Cap Equities
Research | Public working paper · Academia.edu
Walk-Forward Validation, Portfolio Constraints, and Forward Shadow Testing
03 / Public research
2026 · SSRN working paper
Sequential strategy development in U.S. mid-cap equities · public SSRN preprint, not peer reviewed.
2026 · SSRN working paper
Official SSRN paper record · not a peer-reviewed journal article.
2026 · SSRN working paper
Official SSRN paper record · not a peer-reviewed journal article.
04 / Writing
An evidence-led comparison of hyperscaler capital spending and total returns across 11 GICS sector proxies, 11 infrastructure baskets and individual stocks, 2020–2026.
An executed, frozen-universe Reversal5 replication: literature, mathematical rules, Yahoo Finance data, portfolio accounting, historical results and reproducibility audits.
A plain-English illustrated guide to Reversal5: candlestick buy and sell examples, stop-loss risks, results charts and a comparison with the mid-cap market.
05 / Analytical approach
I combine economic reasoning, statistical modelling and careful interpretation to study economic questions and communicate results.
More about my workResearch & collaboration